After the value that realizes science and technology innovates independently, chinese semiconductor industry will naturally produce major change, among them one big feature isCapitalGathering further, but rely on concentrated capital to realize a technology to tackle key problem only put in major uncertainty.

According to coverage of media of domestic and international much home, industry of national integrated circuitInvestmentFund (big fund of the following abbreviation) already announced dimensions makes an appointment with 300 billion yuan (add up to 47.4 billion dollar about) new fund, predict thisCapitalWill have investment of larger proportional amountChip designWait for link. In the meantime, in big fund drive, a few days ago, company of core international integrated circuit also announces to wait with company of Yao Xin integrated circuit of big fund, Shanghai in collective and contributive establish semiconductor industry fund, total dimensions is 1.616 billion yuan.

Current, a lot of people think amount of Chinese economy system is huge is good sense, want China to not hesitate only all cost ground investment are huge endowment, can realize science and technology to innovate independently, master core science and technology thereby, change China ” lack core little spirit ” the current situation.

To this, negotiable securities of wind of professor of economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, day is presiding economist Liu Yu brightness think, existing system existence of China is tremendous and inertial. Can expect, local government can establish a lot of semiconductor industry fund next, enter through be bungled gigantic endowment the development that will promote semiconductor industry. But what your person feels disturbed is, so tremendousInvestment, corresponding it is medium likely very low end the yield with tremendous semiconductor can be superfluous.

“Undertake through concentrated capital the technology tackles key problem will get core technology, put in huge risk. Because of whole information industry development arrives today, had entered rub the time window of limit of Er mensurable physics. ” he says.

As we have learned, rub the content of Er law is, every other is made an appointment with 18 to 24 months, number can increase yuan of parts of an apparatus that can accommodate on unit integrated circuit 1 times, function also promotes 1 times. In information revolution, this kind of trend has lasted 20 old.

Integrated circuitEquipmentLevel of research and development has grown 7 accept rice from 130 accept rice, next how to research and development is challenged even if break through 5 accept rice. However, what the propulsion of rice of every 1 accept needs paid economyCostShow exponential ascendant trend. So tremendousCostIt is common commercial capital cannot of the burden, can rely on national capital to drive only. But, as a result of rub Er law is entered be about to the time window of invalidation, of national capital drive face tremendous uncertainty.

As we have learned, current, our countryEquipmentThe level of research and development of the manufacturer is 14 accept rice, ProductionThe level is in phase of 28 accept rice.

Liu Yu brightness expresses, 5 to 10 years inside, level of research and development of Chinese integrated circuit perhaps can break through 7 accept rice, reach existing international level. However, although research and development is successful, domestic company still needs to pass bloody price war, wait for international from stage accumulating report, SamSung, Hailishi the loot in well-known company handThe marketPortion.

“Bigger risk depends on, come as the time window of semiconductor physics limit, its background science considers to be faced with change direction, and this is by American place dominant. ” he says. Whether can the research direction of semiconductor turn to quanta from the electron? If background science considers to achieve a breakthrough, the mankind seeks the way that validder data stores and spreads, so, several yuan of fixed assets that China breaks to electronic direction invest, one caboodle turns into rubbish with respect to the likelihood between one night.

China scored the success that attract worldwide attention in industrial domain, but the acquisition of these achievement more because amount of Chinese economy system is huge,be, and cannot have had core competition ability on behalf of Chinese technology.

“From the point of investment point of view, can spend money settlement problem is not a problem. And the problem that can rely on concentrated capital to solve, also not be the issue that China needs to pay close attention to at present. ” proposal of Liu Yu brightness, china wants to realize science and technology to innovate independently truly, need those who rely on system to change promote soft actual strength, for instance freer education, independent initiate spirit, perfect capitalThe market, legal economy of height, contracted spirit, this needs the indefatigable effort of a few acting Chinese.